BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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South Florida
Class: 1A Class Rank: 82 Overall: (5-2) Overall Strength = 146.91
Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (1-2) | District: 1A-01 Record: (4-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09-05-2026 Home W * 147.35 19 9 1A 93 (3-3) Florida Int'l 0.30 14.40 9.70
2 09-12-2026 Away W * * 161.53 28 24 1A 63 (4-2) Army 14.47 -14.85 -10.47
3 09-19-2026 Home W 147.91 59 17 1B 74 (4-3) Delaware St 0.85 * 35.83 41.15
4 09-26-2026 Away W * 140.22 14 6 1A 121 (2-5) Bowling Green -6.84 24.04 14.84
5 10-03-2026 Home L * * 133.24 13 17 1A 103 (2-5) Temple -13.81 -2.92 9.81
6 10-08-2026 Away L * * 146.41 24 31 1A 69 (6-1) Texas-San Antonio -0.64 -11.00 -6.36
7 10-17-2026 Home W * 152.73 29 2 1A 127 (2-5) Kent St 5.68 14.08 21.32
8 10/31/2026 Home * * 1A 105 (4-3) Alabama-Birmingham 10.34
9 11/06/2026 Away * * 1A 107 (3-3) East Carolina 6.26
10 11/12/2026 Home * * 1A 49 (5-2) Memphis -7.69
11 11/21/2026 Away * * 1A 94 (4-2) Florida Atlantic 1.53
12 11/27/2026 Home * * 1A 72 (3-3) Tulane -0.36
Averages 147.06 26.6 15.1
Best game: 161.53 = 4 point win over Army
Worst game: 133.24 = 4 point loss to Temple
Team stdev: 8.95